Ran Prieur

August 13.

2018-08-13T13:50:29Z

August 13. I'm back in Pullman. It's great to have everything in English again, and to be on a computer where moving the cursor is not like doing surgery. I even like the smoky air from the summer fires.

I want to make it clear: I'm glad I went to Europe. It was really good for me. But mostly it was a long series of challenges and ordeals. Everyone has things that they feel uncomfortable doing, and if possible, we arrange our lives so we don't have to do those things. For me, three big ones are 1) navigating social landscapes where I don't know the rules; 2) dealing with people in uniforms; and 3) spending money. I just did all of those things repeatedly for a month, and now they bother me less. But it felt more like boot camp than a holiday.

If I go to Europe again, I might buy an unlimited rail pass, even if it ends up being more expensive than buying tickets individually. Because in addition to transportation, I would be buying lack of stress, where there are no consequences for missing a train, and also buying the freedom to improvise. Or I might just stay the whole time in one place. I'd also like to do a trans-Atlantic cruise, because it would be more chill and less dehumanizing than flying, and I hear some of them are really cheap.

Here's a quick best of Europe list. Best beer: Campervan Leith Juice, Edinburgh. Best Asian food: Co Chu, Berlin. Best Italian food: Ristorante Rigoletto, Mettman, Germany. Best Mexican food: Topolabamba, Glasgow. Best museum: National Museum of Scotland, Edinburgh. In that museum was the thing with the best name: the logboat of the Loch Glashan crannog. Best public parks: Maastricht, Netherlands. Best public toilets: Princes Square, Glasgow. Best travel seats: National Express buses, Scotland. Best mall: Fünf Höfe, Munich. Only drinking fountain I ever saw: Friedensplatz, Bonn. Best art collection: railroad graffiti around Dusseldorf.

August 9.

2018-08-09T21:10:16Z

August 9. The other day when I mentioned economies collapsing, I wasn’t clear that I was talking about the future. Here’s an important post from seven years ago on the Do the Math blog, Can Economic Growth Last?

Not only can’t our economies keep growing, they’re not going to smoothly transition to steady-state economies, because we’ve never had one at anywhere near this level of complexity, and no one is seriously trying. The only thing left is collapse. Beyond that I don’t feel qualified to guess, but I think a deep technological collapse is unlikely.

On another tangent from the same post, a condensed comment from Tel:

There's a lot of R&D going on right now on heat pumps that don't use harmful refrigerants, or use alternatives to the common compression/expansion models. But heat pumps all dump waste heat somewhere, so using an air conditioner to cool one place means heating up another place.

Contrast that to older methods of cooling spaces that have no such downside. I'm thinking of things as simple as shading buildings with deciduous plants, or building them tall and close together to minimize solar gain, or building for cooling air flow using stack effects, or even going so far as using airflow over cisterns or building qanats and wind towers or wind catchers.

August 8.

2018-08-08T20:00:35Z

August 8. I have two more comments on yesterday’s two subjects, inspired by an email conversation.

The fires in California are not a wake-up call, because the decisions are not being made on a level where the awake-asleep metaphor applies. If every human in the world wanted to reverse climate change, it would still take years to change the behavior of the giant robot that we are all forced to serve. Everyone in America already wants to get rid of the penny, and end daylight savings time, and we can’t even make those simple reforms that require no sacrifice.

Some people see a cosmic balance between order and chaos, but my favorite definition of chaos is order without control. So I see three forces: order without control, disorder, and control. I think control is not part of a balance, but purely a mistake, a mental illness afflicting humans with too much power — and a design error of systems with too much power. From the perspective of control, it’s hard to even see the difference between order without control and disorder.

August 7.

2018-08-07T19:50:25Z

August 7. No big ideas this week, just two scraps. In Berlin we had an air-conditioned hotel room, and in Munich we don’t. With temperatures over 90F (32C), the difference is overwhelming. And yet, it’s still only a difference in comfort. Once we get used to the heat, it doesn’t make us miserable like hunger or thirst would.

So I’m thinking, with climate change getting worse, and economies collapsing, that could become the biggest indicator of social class, among people who aren’t starving and don’t have private jets: how cool they can keep their living space.

Leigh Ann just bought a thing with a quote from Karl Kraus, who has a bunch of other good quotes. This one is “Das Chaos sei willkommen, denn die Ordnung hat versagt.” It could be translated as “Chaos is welcome because order has failed.” Update: an actual German suggests “The reign of chaos be welcome for the reign of order has failed.”

Is that true? To me it seems like order has failed pretty badly, and people still aren’t welcoming chaos. I guess it depends on what order is supposed to do. It’s doing a great job at keeping us safe, and a terrible job at stuff that’s harder to quantify. From a couple days ago, this Reddit thread asks What motivates you to get out of bed in the morning? Only one person in the entire thread actually looks forward to doing something that society considers productive, and he’s elderly.

August 4.

2018-08-04T16:20:36Z

August 4. On a tangent from the last post, a reader mentions that Carl Jung wasn’t much into psychedelics, because “he felt that the more we learn about the collective unconscious, the more responsibility we have to act, and it was perhaps only a few who were capable of action.”

That reminds me of something I heard, maybe in a Terence McKenna talk, about how there are all these entities around us all the time, and they mostly don’t care about us — but if you learn to see them, then they notice that you see them, and you have to learn deal with them. And that reminds me of my own discovery (through cannabis) that most communication happens on subtle levels beneath words, levels on which I still don’t even feel competent.

Unrelated, a fun link from Reddit: What’s the most “Chaotic Good” thing you’ve ever seen?

August 1.

2018-08-01T13:50:33Z

August 1. Picking up from a week ago, Gryphon sends this Twitter post by Gwern, Maxims of Applied Demonology.

The word “demon” is used for so many things. Scott Peck’s book People of the Lie uses it for something that a psychologist would call personified mental illness. I find this concept useful: that there are voices in my head, that don’t serve my long-term interests, and don’t want me to know about them.

Gwern’s concept of the demon world is oddly heavy with financial metaphors. I’d like to see some rules of demonology from a culture without money. As a Taoist-pantheist, I would put it this way: if you go astray from the Tao, your gains will not be worth it, and circumstances will pull you back toward the Tao. When I write about “agents of fate”, that’s a personification of the future imposing its will on the present.

Then there’s the concept of demons as trickster spirits, who might not want anything except to toy with human emotions.

Farther down in Gwern’s feed, he has a critique of utopian social engineering, where he writes, “Small samples show wild gains but bigger samples show smaller, often zero, effects.”

That happens in a lot of things, all the way from paranormal research to hard science, where it’s called the decline effect. I see it as a universal law of reality creation. When fewer people are looking, for a shorter time, it’s easier for the eye/mind to see/create what it wants. As more perspectives join, they bring reality back toward the conventional.